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% for craftin(only to express frustr., donaters not welcome) 
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Joined: Fri Aug 23, 2013 8:56 pm
Posts: 939
Location: Poland
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Post Re: % for craftin(only to express frustr., donaters not welc
Asmoy wrote:
And yes , i have managed to craft potions few times in a row , and i have also managed to fail doing those potions few times in a row .

Well I didn't. That's the point. I fail 75% red potions at least.

And the max number of trials we can get here is 19 as far as i know (max 999 resources(?) ) - just btw ^^
Probability works for every number of trials, the more trials we have, the better result we get, but it does NOT understand that 3 (here) trials are not enough. Just like i counted in the first post. Probability of not-success in 3 trials in a row is 12,5%. Maths don't lie.


Tue Jun 09, 2015 4:56 pm
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Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 11:28 am
Posts: 202
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Post Re: % for craftin(only to express frustr., donaters not welc
Xylar wrote:
Asmoy wrote:
And yes , i have managed to craft potions few times in a row , and i have also managed to fail doing those potions few times in a row .

Well I didn't. That's the point. I fail 75% red potions at least.

And the max number of trials we can get here is 19 as far as i know (max 999 resources(?) ) - just btw ^^
Probability works for every number of trials, the more trials we have, the better result we get, but it does NOT understand that 3 (here) trials are not enough. Just like i counted in the first post. Probability of not-success in 3 trials in a row is 12,5%. Maths don't lie.


That's because the game doesnt like you.Get the truth more manly. But I don't think so,you are Xylar=who?


Tue Jun 09, 2015 6:39 pm
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Joined: Fri Aug 23, 2013 8:56 pm
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Location: Poland
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Post Re: % for craftin(only to express frustr., donaters not welc
No, that's because the percentage is a lie.
When Svet Angel speaks the word 'truth' something in my stomach starts wriggling weirdly.


Tue Jun 09, 2015 7:01 pm
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Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 11:28 am
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Post Re: % for craftin(only to express frustr., donaters not welc
Xylar wrote:
No, that's because the percentage is a lie.
When Svet Angel speaks the word 'truth' something in my stomach starts wriggling weirdly.

Go toilet then...


Tue Jun 09, 2015 7:30 pm
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Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2013 2:11 pm
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Post Re: % for craftin(only to express frustr., donaters not welc
"Well I didn't. That's the point. I fail 75% red potions at least.

And the max number of trials we can get here is 19 as far as i know (max 999 resources(?) ) - just btw ^^
Probability works for every number of trials, the more trials we have, the better result we get, but it does NOT understand that 3 (here) trials are not enough. Just like i counted in the first post. Probability of not-success in 3 trials in a row is 12,5%. Maths don't lie."

Max number is 19 , so what. Try to understand what i wrote once again. You don't have do do 100 trials in a row. You just should do 100 and write down the numbers.
Math understands ^^ Probability if 3 fails in a row is 12,% , so its high percentage and it happens over time . Maths don't lie , but you are argueing with the laws of it.


Sat Jun 13, 2015 11:29 am
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Joined: Fri Aug 23, 2013 8:56 pm
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Post Re: % for craftin(only to express frustr., donaters not welc
12,5% is nothing. It's one (1) result in eight (8) trials (where here a trial means 3 in a row). That's the law of probability. :)
And still, as i said, i fail at least 75% at all.


Sat Jun 13, 2015 12:37 pm
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